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Rapid Unscheduled Disassembly

4/28/2023

 
PicturePrediction: Market Blowup?
On April 20, the most powerful rocket ever built experienced a "rapid unscheduled disassembly" four minutes after lift-off. That’s the euphemism preferred by Elon Musk’s Space X to describe their Starship being consumed by an orange and white fireball.
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Rockets weren’t the only thing barreling toward a blowup in April. On the 11th, Bloomberg said this about the market: “Cracks in 2023’s equity advance are appearing, as hedge funds and other speculators amass the deepest short position since November 2011 when the US sovereign credit rating was cut.” 


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Bull Stirring?

4/3/2023

 
PictureIs There a Bull Market Stirring?
It started with an arguably dumb decision at Silicon Valley Bank. Put an unholy amount of long-duration bonds into the portfolio at the most inopportune time – just prior to the Fed’s interest rate thrill ride. Rates go up, value of bonds plummet. To meet the demands for routine withdrawals, sell bonds at a big loss.

No problem. Announce the raising of $2.25 billion in public and private offerings to shore up balance sheet. But that idea didn’t sit well with a few depositors, and they withdrew their money and then, of course, tweeted about it.
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Big problem. The ensuing run on the bank brought it to its knees overnight. 


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    David Alan Carter, author of the books:
    The 12% Solution
    Stock Market Cash Trigger

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