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ETF Trading Strategies Designed To...

Beat Wall Street


More specifically, the goal is to consistently beat the benchmark S&P 500. While it can't be done every year with every strategy, these models have generated some pretty impressive numbers. For example, the total return for SPY (the ETF that mirrors the S&P 500) for the 14-year period 2008 through 2021 was 335.7%. Not bad, especially when you factor in the Great Recession and the COVID-19 crash of 2020. But the American Muscle strategy, backtested for the same 14-year period, delivered a whopping 1,490.5%.

Reduce Risk


For starters, all 4 strategies are primarily ETF trading strategies. ETFs, by their very nature (baskets of assets), reduce a good portion of the risk and volatility inherent in owning individual securities.

Next, recognizing that emotion is often the enemy that kills results, the strategies employ mechanisms like risk-adjusted momentum analysis and volatility based risk-parity. These mechanisms help define trends and take the emotion out of our buy and sell signals.

In particular...

Bond Bulls is a bond fund switching strategy; it's all bonds all the time - with a hedge of it's own to provide relief should the bond market itself take a leg down. With bonds generally offering relative security in times of market turmoil, Bond Bulls has 'reduced risk' in its DNA. A "flight-to-safety" trigger can move the portfolio into cash in the event of a significant market downturn.

Global Trader employs risk-adjusted relative strength testing to identify and tap outperforming international ETFs, opening up our asset horizon to all corners of the globe. A built-in hedge helps reduce volatility and drawdown, and "flight-to-safety" is a long-duration Treasury fund.

American Muscle employs diversity by rotating among select domestic index funds with individual stock holdings ranging from 100 to 2,000. In the event of a broad market downturn, the strategy can take a majority position in one of four "flight-to-safety" funds (two of which are Treasuries).

The White Knuckle is my most aggressive strategy, employing leveraged index fund ETFs. While a stand-alone leveraged fund is inherently dangerous, I've picked an ETF combo that often exhibits an inverse relationship. Using risk-parity to adjust for volatility, as well as a rotating satellite hedge, I've reduced volatility and max drawdown to a more reasonable level.

Keep It Simple


I send buy and sell signals to you via a monthly email newsletter. These are the same buy and sell signals that I use to trade each of the strategies in my own account. I watch the market, I keep the algorithms cranking. You check your email and stay up-to-date with strategy trades.

What next? Well, you can get more information on each of the trading strategies (below), or jump straight to the COMPARE/SUBSCRIBE page to compare strategy highlights and see pricing.

Select Your Strategy...

(Our newest model, Five Stocks, is currently in beta testing. Read about it HERE.)
Bond Bulls
Global Trader
American Muscle
The White Knuckle
Bond Bulls
(Rotating Bonds w/Hedge)
BEAT the S&P 500
11.4% CAGR over 14 years

Global Trader
(International Plus Domestic)
BEAT the S&P 500
19.5% CAGR over 14 years

American Muscle
(U.S. Equities, U.S. Bonds)
BEAT the S&P 500
21.8% CAGR over 14 years

The White Knuckle
(Leverage, Carefully)
BEAT the S&P 500
41.7% CAGR over 11 years

Numbers as of 12/31/2021
CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate
Trendline Profits is neither a broker nor an investment advisor, registered or otherwise. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. We are solely an informational site identifying strategy trade signals using automated algorithmic market analysis tools on a limited set of funds.

If you are unable or unwilling to fully read and agree with our Terms of Use and Disclaimer, we ask that you exit this site immediately. Your continued use of this site and/or associated media shall be considered equivalent to your signature as evidence of your acceptance of our Terms of Use and Disclaimer.

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Bond Bulls
Global Trader
American Muscle
The White Knuckle

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